Europa League 1/32
Global 2-3
Nantes vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
NAN
1 - 2
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
GUI
1 - 0
NAN
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
AGF
2 - 2
NAN
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
NAN
1 - 1
MPL
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
LEN
0 - 0
NAN
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
IKA
1 - 3
AGF
29%
25%
45%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
AGF
1 - 1
AKA
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
AGF
2 - 2
NAN
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
BIF
2 - 0
AGF
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
AGF
1 - 2
VEJ
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |