UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 1-1
Nantes U19 vs Lech Poznań U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 0
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
REN
1 - 1
NAN
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 2
GUI
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 1
NAN
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 0
NAN
6%
13%
81%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 2
GZA
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PSZ
0 - 1
LPO
43%
22%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 2
LEG
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 1
NAN
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 0
KOK
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |