Nantes Sub 19 vs Guingamp Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
3º
2º
33
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 1
NAN
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 0
NAN
6%
13%
81%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 0
SAM
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LAV
0 - 2
NAN
16%
19%
65%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
6 - 0
VER
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 2
STA
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
REN
1 - 0
GUI
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 0
CON
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 3
TRE
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
GUI
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |