Nantes II vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
10º
3º
5
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 59% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
RED
8%
17%
76%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 2
FON
50%
27%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
USS
2 - 0
NAN
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 0
LAV
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
LPS
57%
24%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NIO
0 - 2
SPG
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
ASC
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LSD
0 - 0
SPG
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPG
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 3
SNA
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |