Nantes II vs Sablé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
2º
36
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAN
19%
24%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
SNA
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
SPG
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
NAN
10%
17%
74%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NAN
5 - 0
USS
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 3
SPG
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAB
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 2
LPS
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
SAB
10%
15%
75%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
SAB
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |