Nantes II vs Niort II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
2º
27
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
NAN
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
LSD
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
SAB
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAN
19%
24%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
SNA
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NIO
1 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SNA
0 - 4
NIO
31%
24%
46%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NIO
0 - 1
CHA
79%
14%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FON
2 - 1
NIO
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LSD
1 - 4
NIO
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +2 |