Nantes II vs La Tour d'Auvergne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
11º
5º
15
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 43 |
1º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 42 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 41 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 41 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 38 |
6º
|
6% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 37 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 60% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
NAN
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 1
USS
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 0
NAN
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
LAV
49%
25%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 2
NAN
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
La Tour d'Auvergne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 1
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FON
3 - 0
LAT
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAT
2 - 0
SPG
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
LAT
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ESO
0 - 2
LAT
53%
21%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |