Nantes II vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 3
NAN
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 0
LEP
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
3 - 0
POI
69%
20%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LAS
3 - 2
NAN
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LEP
1 - 0
CHO
31%
26%
42%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 4
AVO
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LAS
1 - 3
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CHO
4 - 0
ANG
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CHO
6 - 1
RCL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |