Nantes II vs Chauray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
2º
30
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FON
3 - 3
NAN
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LES
0 - 2
NAN
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAN
53%
26%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 2
ROM
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 1
NAN
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
9%
19%
72%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVO
13%
23%
64%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
TOU
2 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
NIO
5 - 0
CHA
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |