Nantes II vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
10º
3º
9
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
NAN
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 1
SPG
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
RED
8%
17%
76%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 2
FON
50%
27%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
USS
2 - 0
NAN
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASC
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
FON
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FON
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USS
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |