Nantes II vs La Chataigneraie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
10º
3º
9
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 3
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
NAN
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 1
SPG
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
RED
8%
17%
76%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 2
FON
50%
27%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
USS
30%
25%
44%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASC
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAB
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 4
LAV
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
ASC
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |