Nantes II vs La Chataigneraie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
2º
31
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NIO
0 - 2
NAN
24%
21%
54%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LSD
0 - 3
NAN
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 1
NAN
24%
21%
55%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 3
NAN
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
LSD
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SNA
0 - 0
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FON
5 - 2
ASC
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |