Nantes II vs Ancienne Château-Gontier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
2º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
4 - 2
ASC
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NIO
0 - 2
NAN
24%
21%
54%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LSD
0 - 3
NAN
34%
22%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 1
NAN
24%
21%
55%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SNA
2 - 0
ACG
72%
17%
12%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 0
CHA
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACG
3 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
71%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FON
0 - 1
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 33 | 27 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 3
USS
7%
14%
80%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |