Nanjing Gold vs Zibo Zhanggang analysis


5	ELO	7
1.5%	Tilt	-0.8%
34491º	General ELO ranking	42656º
154º	Country ELO ranking	200º
ELO win probability

43.3%

Nanjing Gold

24.5%

Draw

32.2%

Zibo Zhanggang

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

43.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%

24.5%

Draw

0-0

5.4%

1-1

11.4%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.5%

32.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%