Nanjing City vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
ZSU
2 - 1
NAN
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
NAN
2 - 2
ANH
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BIT
0 - 3
NAN
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
NAN
5 - 0
HUB
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NAN
2 - 0
ZSU
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
BIT
1 - 2
JIA
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
JIA
1 - 5
ZSU
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HUB
0 - 1
JIA
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
ANH
4 - 0
JIA
66%
22%
13%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
JIA
2 - 2
BIT
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |