Nanjing City vs Xinjiang Tianshan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 3
ZSU
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 2
SDO
48%
26%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 1
NAN
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HUB
2 - 3
NAN
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
ZSU
0 - 0
NAN
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Xinjiang Tianshan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HUB
1 - 0
SDO
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SCA
4 - 0
HUB
73%
19%
8%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HUB
1 - 2
ZSU
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HUB
2 - 3
NAN
15%
21%
65%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SDO
3 - 0
HUB
74%
18%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |