Nanjing City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
14º
9º
34
4º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 20 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 1
NAN
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
WWF
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SDO
2 - 1
NAN
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUF
0 - 0
NAN
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANH
2 - 1
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HKF
0 - 1
SHE
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DAL
1 - 1
HKF
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 1
HKF
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HKF
0 - 1
YAN
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
HKF
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |