Nanjing City vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
14º
9º
52
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
QFC
2 - 1
NAN
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
4 - 1
GFC
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
DAL
2 - 0
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
HKF
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
NAN
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
YAN
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 2
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
JIA
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
GFC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 1
GUA
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |