Nanjing City vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
5 - 1
NAN
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
YAN
1 - 2
NAN
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 2
NAN
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 2
YUN
41%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 0
SHA
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
CBC
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 3
CBC
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 0
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 3
CBC
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 1
CBC
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |