Nancy vs ES Wasquehal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
ASN
3 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ASN
0 - 0
ESW
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
NIO
3 - 2
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
IST
2 - 0
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ES Wasquehal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
ESW
0 - 0
CHA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 1
ESW
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ASN
0 - 0
ESW
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
ESW
2 - 3
LUS
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
ESW
2 - 2
CAE
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |