Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
ASN
3 - 0
BAS
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1977 |
MON
2 - 0
ASN
46%
24%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1977 |
ASN
4 - 1
PSG
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
ASN
1 - 1
ANG
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 2
ASN
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 2
SOC
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1977 |
STL
3 - 1
VAL
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1977 |
VAL
6 - 1
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
ASS
5 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 0
NAN
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |