Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1974 |
ASN
3 - 1
LYO
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1974 |
SED
2 - 3
ASN
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
ASN
0 - 0
TRO
62%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1974 |
REN
3 - 0
ASN
51%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1974 |
ASN
0 - 1
NIC
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 0
NÎM
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1973 |
NIC
4 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 2
STR
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
GIR
2 - 0
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
VAL
3 - 0
ANG
34%
30%
37%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |