Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
SOC
1 - 0
ASN
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
ASN
2 - 1
ANG
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
NAN
7 - 0
ASN
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1971 |
ASN
0 - 1
ANG
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
ASN
1 - 0
SED
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
ASS
4 - 0
VAL
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
VAL
3 - 0
STR
38%
30%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
NÎM
4 - 1
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
VAL
1 - 1
GIR
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
NIC
4 - 2
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |