Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
LYO
3 - 0
ASN
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
NÎM
3 - 0
ASN
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
ASN
1 - 3
FCR
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
REI
5 - 1
ASN
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
ASN
0 - 0
ANG
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
VAL
1 - 2
TFC
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
MON
3 - 1
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
VAL
0 - 0
SFP
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
FCR
3 - 2
VAL
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 3
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |