Nancy vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
CHA
1 - 1
ASN
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
ASN
2 - 3
CHA
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
NÎM
0 - 1
ASN
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
ASN
0 - 2
PSG
20%
29%
52%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
ASN
1 - 3
TFC
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
VAL
0 - 0
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
SED
1 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
VAL
3 - 1
STA
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
ANG
1 - 0
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 0
LMU
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |