Nancy vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 2
ASN
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ASN
6 - 0
REN
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LYO
1 - 0
ASN
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 2
MON
22%
27%
52%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
TRO
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 0
NAN
35%
27%
37%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LMU
1 - 0
TRO
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 1
PSG
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |