Nancy vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
ASN
1 - 1
LEN
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASN
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
ASN
4 - 1
STL
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 2
ASN
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
ASN
4 - 1
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
TRO
0 - 3
LYO
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
PSG
2 - 1
TRO
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
TRO
2 - 1
REN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
LIL
3 - 1
TRO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
TRO
1 - 0
SOC
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |