Nancy vs Tours analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 3
ASN
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
ASN
0 - 0
GIR
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 2
ASN
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
ASN
3 - 2
MPL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
LYO
2 - 0
ASN
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1981 |
TOU
1 - 1
NAN
14%
20%
66%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
LYO
2 - 1
TOU
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
TOU
1 - 0
LEN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 1
TOU
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
TOU
1 - 2
PSG
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |