Nancy vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
ASN
3 - 0
DUN
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
PER
2 - 1
ASN
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
ASN
1 - 1
AMI
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
CSL
0 - 1
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
TFC
0 - 1
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
OLY
0 - 1
TFC
35%
29%
35%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
TFC
1 - 2
STL
69%
19%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
FCM
0 - 0
TFC
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
TFC
2 - 0
CHA
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |