Nancy vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
26.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
CAE
5 - 1
ASN
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
ASN
2 - 3
NÎM
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASN
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
ASN
0 - 0
SPO
49%
28%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
REN
3 - 1
ASN
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
TFC
1 - 1
MPL
42%
30%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
MAR
2 - 0
TFC
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
TFC
2 - 1
NAN
38%
30%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
AUX
3 - 0
TFC
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
TFC
1 - 1
LEN
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |