Nancy vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
REN
1 - 0
ASN
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
ASN
1 - 3
NAN
37%
27%
35%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
SPO
1 - 0
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ASN
3 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
STR
2 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 1
STR
67%
19%
13%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
STR
1 - 3
AUX
28%
30%
42%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |