Nancy vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
GIR
2 - 1
ASN
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
ASN
0 - 1
NAN
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
ASN
0 - 0
SOC
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1983 |
NÎM
1 - 1
ASN
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1983 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
STR
1 - 0
NÎM
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
SOC
0 - 0
STR
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
STR
1 - 1
REN
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1983 |
LIL
1 - 1
STR
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1983 |
STR
0 - 0
BAS
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |