Nancy vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1984 |
LIL
4 - 0
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1984 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASN
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1984 |
ASN
1 - 1
TFC
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1984 |
MON
1 - 0
ASN
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1984 |
ASN
2 - 3
STL
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1984 |
SPO
2 - 1
TFC
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1984 |
MON
0 - 2
SPO
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 1
STL
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1984 |
STR
0 - 1
SPO
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 0
RAC
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |