Nancy vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
ASN
2 - 0
LEN
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
MET
1 - 2
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
ASN
1 - 1
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
STL
1 - 1
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
SPO
3 - 2
TFC
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
STR
2 - 0
SPO
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 0
FCR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
AUX
1 - 1
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
SPO
0 - 3
LIL
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |