Nancy vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
USB
1 - 2
ASN
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
ASN
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 3
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PSG
1 - 1
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 1
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 1
LYO
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 2
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MPL
2 - 1
ASS
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ASS
3 - 1
GIR
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
ASS
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |