Nancy vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
IST
2 - 0
ASN
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 2
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
REI
1 - 0
ASN
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ASN
3 - 2
TFC
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
LMU
3 - 0
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 1
LUS
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 0
ASS
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAE
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ASB
3 - 0
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ASS
3 - 2
TFC
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |