Nancy vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LMU
1 - 0
ASN
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
FCM
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
0 - 0
LUS
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 3
ASN
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ASN
3 - 3
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAE
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
NÎM
0 - 0
ASS
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 0
NIO
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
FCM
1 - 1
ASS
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
ASS
3 - 1
STL
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |