Nancy vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASN
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 1
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
MON
1 - 1
ASN
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
ASN
0 - 0
STL
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 0
LIL
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
NÎM
1 - 1
ASS
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
SOC
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
REN
1 - 2
ASS
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 3
PSG
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |