Nancy vs Perpignan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASN
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
DUN
2 - 0
ASN
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
ASN
0 - 0
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
ASN
2 - 1
STA
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
AMI
0 - 1
ASN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
PER
1 - 0
SED
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
STA
0 - 1
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1995 |
ANG
0 - 1
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
PER
4 - 0
FCM
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
PER
0 - 0
LMU
44%
26%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |