Nancy vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASN
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
ASN
3 - 1
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1978 |
NIC
3 - 7
ASN
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
REI
4 - 1
ASN
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ASN
4 - 1
GIR
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
NÎM
0 - 0
ASS
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
SOC
1 - 1
NÎM
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1978 |
NÎM
1 - 0
STL
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
LEN
4 - 1
NÎM
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1978 |
MET
3 - 0
NÎM
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |