Nancy vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 0
SOC
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASN
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ASN
2 - 0
TFC
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SOC
0 - 2
ASN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ASN
2 - 1
TRO
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
NIC
2 - 0
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 0
AUX
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 2
NIC
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
MAR
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |