Nancy vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
MAR
2 - 3
ASN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 0
AUX
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
GIR
1 - 0
ASN
75%
15%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 0
STL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1985 |
LIL
3 - 1
ASN
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 1
NIC
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
LHA
1 - 2
NIC
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1985 |
NIC
1 - 1
AUX
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1985 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |