Nancy vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
GRE
1 - 1
ASN
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
ASN
0 - 0
SFP
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
TFC
2 - 0
ASN
57%
21%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
ASN
2 - 1
MPL
58%
21%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
RAC
4 - 2
ASN
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
NIC
1 - 1
ANG
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1962 |
LYO
3 - 1
NIC
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
REN
3 - 1
NIC
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
NIC
4 - 0
REI
35%
23%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 1
NIC
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |