Europa League Fase Final 1/32
Global 3-0
Nancy vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 1
ASN
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 1
LHA
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ASN
0 - 0
TFC
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NIC
2 - 1
ASN
44%
29%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
MHE
2 - 4
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
HIB
0 - 1
MHE
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
MHE
1 - 1
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
MHE
0 - 1
ABE
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
HOM
3 - 2
MHE
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |