Nancy vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASN
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 0
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
ASN
38%
29%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 1
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
ASS
4 - 0
ASN
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 1
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MET
1 - 2
NIC
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
STR
2 - 3
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MET
2 - 1
CAE
35%
26%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LYO
2 - 0
MET
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |