Nancy vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 2
MPL
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NÎM
1 - 2
ASN
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 0
ASN
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
ASN
10%
20%
71%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LMU
3 - 0
AJA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
LMU
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
STL
2 - 1
LMU
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
REI
3 - 0
LMU
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 3
LMU
9%
16%
75%
|
76 | 26 | 50 | -1 |