Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
BOU
3 - 2
ASN
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 2
QUE
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASN
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
ASN
2 - 2
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
SOC
1 - 0
ASN
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 3
AUX
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 2
LOR
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
REI
0 - 1
LOR
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MPL
4 - 3
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |