Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 0
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ASN
4 - 1
AUX
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 2
ASN
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
REN
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
STR
0 - 0
LOR
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 3
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 2
LOR
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 1
LYO
20%
26%
55%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |