Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BRI
3 - 2
ASN
10%
19%
71%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
ASN
2 - 0
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2004 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
30%
29%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 2
CAE
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASS
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LHA
1 - 0
LOR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 1
LOR
7%
15%
78%
|
77 | 31 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
4 - 2
NIO
57%
24%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 1
LOR
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |