Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ASN
0 - 2
CAE
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
NIO
2 - 2
ASN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
ASN
2 - 1
ANG
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PSG
1 - 0
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 2
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
2 - 3
ASS
61%
24%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
LMU
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
GIR
2 - 1
LIL
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |